Madagascar vs Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
MAD
1 - 0
EQG
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
EQG
0 - 1
MAD
34%
26%
41%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MAD
2 - 2
SEN
16%
25%
59%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
MAD
0 - 1
LSO
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
ZAM
1 - 0
MAD
63%
22%
16%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
SDN
0 - 1
SEN
18%
25%
56%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
SEN
3 - 0
SDN
76%
17%
7%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
EQG
1 - 0
SDN
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
LBY
1 - 1
SDN
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
SDN
0 - 1
NGA
21%
28%
51%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | -1 |