Madagascar vs Comoros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2018 |
SYC
1 - 1
MAD
13%
22%
65%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
MAD
2 - 1
MOZ
48%
25%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
XXK
1 - 0
MAD
56%
21%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
TOG
0 - 0
MAD
37%
26%
36%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ANG
1 - 0
MAD
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2018 |
MOZ
3 - 0
COM
72%
19%
10%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
COM
1 - 1
SYC
29%
25%
46%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
KEN
2 - 2
COM
70%
20%
10%
|
33 | 58 | 25 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
NAM
2 - 0
COM
74%
18%
8%
|
34 | 62 | 28 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
COM
2 - 1
NAM
8%
16%
77%
|
32 | 62 | 30 | +2 |