Madagascar vs Burundi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
GUI
2 - 2
MAD
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2019 |
MTN
3 - 1
MAD
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
KEN
1 - 0
MAD
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
LUX
3 - 3
MAD
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
SEN
2 - 0
MAD
76%
17%
7%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
NGA
1 - 0
BDI
79%
15%
7%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2019 |
TUN
2 - 1
BDI
78%
17%
6%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
ALG
1 - 1
BDI
79%
15%
6%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
BDI
1 - 1
GAB
24%
25%
52%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
SSD
2 - 5
BDI
18%
20%
62%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |