WC Qual. Africa Clasificación Final
Global 3-4
Madagascar vs Benin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
35.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
MUS
3 - 1
MAD
34%
26%
41%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2003 |
SYC
1 - 1
MAD
21%
23%
56%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
SWZ
2 - 0
MAD
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
MAD
0 - 2
MUS
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2003 |
EGY
6 - 0
MAD
93%
6%
2%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2003 |
GAB
4 - 0
BEN
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
BFA
1 - 0
BEN
56%
22%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
BEN
3 - 0
ZAM
23%
25%
52%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | +2 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
TAN
0 - 1
BEN
55%
22%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
BEN
3 - 0
SDN
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +2 |