WC Qual. Africa 1ra y 2da Ronda Semi-finals
Global 5-2
Madagascar vs Central African Republic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
5.8%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CTA
0 - 3
MAD
10%
18%
71%
|
55 | 16 | 39 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MAD
0 - 0
ANG
19%
25%
57%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
MDV
0 - 4
MAD
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
COD
2 - 1
MAD
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
MAD
2 - 1
BOT
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Central African Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CTA
0 - 3
MAD
10%
18%
71%
|
16 | 55 | 39 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CTA
2 - 0
COD
4%
12%
84%
|
15 | 69 | 54 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
ANG
4 - 0
CTA
83%
13%
4%
|
15 | 72 | 57 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
4 - 0
CTA
86%
11%
2%
|
15 | 81 | 66 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
GNB
3 - 1
CTA
78%
15%
6%
|
15 | 54 | 39 | 0 |