Madagascar vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
51.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
MAD
2 - 1
COM
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
MAD
0 - 2
RWA
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
MAD
1 - 0
BDI
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 3
MAD
14%
20%
66%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
GHA
1 - 0
MAD
65%
22%
14%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
MLI
1 - 2
GHA
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
MLI
2 - 0
NGA
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
MTN
0 - 2
MLI
22%
26%
52%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MLI
1 - 2
CIV
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
MLI
2 - 1
BFA
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |