WC Qual. Africa 1ra Ronda Final
Global 2-3
Madagascar vs Equatorial Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
46.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
EQG
2 - 0
MAD
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ETH
4 - 2
MAD
69%
19%
13%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MAD
0 - 2
NGA
5%
19%
76%
|
51 | 88 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
IRN
1 - 0
MAD
93%
6%
1%
|
51 | 89 | 38 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
GUI
4 - 1
MAD
81%
14%
5%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
EQG
2 - 0
MAD
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
EQG
1 - 1
CMR
6%
17%
78%
|
55 | 87 | 32 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
GAB
2 - 0
EQG
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
EQG
3 - 0
CTA
80%
14%
6%
|
55 | 11 | 44 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
BFA
1 - 0
EQG
69%
18%
14%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |