Madagascar vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
45.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2015 |
MAD
2 - 3
NAM
32%
26%
41%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
GHA
1 - 2
MAD
82%
13%
5%
|
52 | 82 | 30 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
MAD
1 - 1
SWZ
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
MAD
2 - 0
TAN
25%
25%
51%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2015 |
LSO
1 - 2
MAD
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 2
MOZ
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
RSA
0 - 0
BOT
69%
21%
11%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 2
MOZ
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 0
LSO
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2015 |
BFA
2 - 0
BOT
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |