Madagascar vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
48.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
MAD
0 - 2
ZAM
14%
20%
66%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2008 |
MAD
1 - 2
MOZ
23%
23%
55%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2008 |
MAD
2 - 1
MUS
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2008 |
MAD
1 - 1
SYC
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
MAD
1 - 1
SWZ
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 0
LSO
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
ZIM
1 - 0
BOT
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
BOT
0 - 2
MOZ
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
CIV
4 - 0
BOT
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 1
CIV
17%
25%
58%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |