Mâcon vs US Cosne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
10º
1º
35
6º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
79% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
54% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
74% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
74% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mâcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
MOR
4 - 3
MAC
22%
21%
57%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VEL
2 - 3
MAC
33%
22%
45%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SEL
1 - 1
MAC
27%
21%
52%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MAC
3 - 1
APO
67%
18%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
QUE
0 - 3
MAC
12%
17%
71%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
US Cosne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FSD
1 - 3
UNI
9%
14%
78%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 2
MOR
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 0
QUE
86%
10%
4%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PON
2 - 0
UNI
33%
23%
45%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 1
SOC
46%
23%
31%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |