Mâcon vs Olympique Lyonnais II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
9º
5º
25
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
24 | 50 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
25 | 45 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
1º
|
26 | 44 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
|
4º
|
24 | 44 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 38 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 36 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 35 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 33 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 32 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 30 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 22 |
13º
|
28% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 22 |
14º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6.5% | 13.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 86.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mâcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
THO
0 - 2
MAC
51%
23%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 2
SOC
6%
14%
80%
|
43 | 71 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
MAC
1 - 0
LYO
18%
21%
61%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ASG
0 - 4
MAC
11%
15%
74%
|
41 | 7 | 34 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LIM
0 - 1
MAC
41%
25%
34%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 2
CHA
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
WHU
0 - 2
OLY
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +3 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
HAL
0 - 3
OLY
26%
23%
52%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 3
BOU
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 2
OLY
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +2 |