Mâcon vs Lyon-Duchère analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
61.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
9º
5º
24
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
5º
|
24 | 50 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 45 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
1º
|
26 | 44 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
|
4º
|
24 | 44 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 38 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 36 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 35 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 33 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 32 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 30 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 22 |
13º
|
28% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 22 |
14º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6.5% | 40.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 59.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mâcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ASG
0 - 4
MAC
11%
15%
74%
|
42 | 8 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LIM
0 - 1
MAC
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SEY
2 - 0
MAC
14%
17%
69%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | -3 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 1
CHA
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MAC
2 - 0
SEN
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LYO
4 - 0
CHA
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 0
LYO
7%
16%
77%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CDE
0 - 1
LYO
17%
21%
63%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
LYO
1 - 1
BOU
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
LYO
0 - 4
VIL
23%
23%
53%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |