Mâcon vs Clermont II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
9º
4º
10
8º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
27 | 50 |
1º
|
33.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 46 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
|
3º
|
27 | 44 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 44 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 39 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 38 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 32 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 32 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 31 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 30 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 23 |
13º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 21 |
14º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
10% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 4% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 93% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mâcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CDE
2 - 0
MAC
21%
23%
57%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
MAC
4 - 2
OLY
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
THO
0 - 2
MAC
51%
23%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 2
SOC
6%
14%
80%
|
44 | 72 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
MAC
1 - 0
LYO
18%
21%
61%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Clermont II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CLE
0 - 2
CHA
32%
26%
43%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
HAL
0 - 0
CLE
30%
23%
47%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
CLE
2 - 6
BOU
33%
27%
40%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
CLE
45%
24%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CLE
1 - 0
ESM
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |