Mâcon vs Bourgoin-Jallieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
1º
9º
4º
12
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
7 | 59 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 47 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
|
1º
|
12 | 47 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 44 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 43 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 42 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 37 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 36 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 33 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 28 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 26 |
12º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 20 |
13º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 11 |
14º
|
73.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4% | 11.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 85% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mâcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
MAC
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 2
ESM
74%
15%
11%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SAE
1 - 3
MAC
34%
25%
42%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
MAC
1 - 0
VIL
11%
17%
72%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 1
FCS
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Bourgoin-Jallieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BOU
4 - 1
CHA
31%
26%
43%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HAL
1 - 3
BOU
30%
25%
45%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SEY
0 - 1
BOU
14%
19%
67%
|
36 | 8 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BOU
0 - 0
OLY
24%
25%
52%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
JUR
3 - 1
BOU
79%
15%
7%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |