Mâcon vs Auxerre II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
3º
12º
12º
30
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mâcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ESW
1 - 1
MAC
54%
23%
24%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MAC
2 - 2
BIE
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
MAC
1 - 4
FLE
22%
24%
55%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
MAC
1 - 1
BOB
23%
24%
53%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 2
BOU
20%
23%
58%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AUX
2 - 3
BOB
27%
26%
47%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
AUX
0 - 2
LUS
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BRC
2 - 3
AUX
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BOU
0 - 1
AUX
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
AUX
0 - 0
FUR
31%
27%
43%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |