Mâcon vs Quetigny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.4%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.8%
2.8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
10º
1º
3
11º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
79% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
54% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
74% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
74% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mâcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 1
FCG
59%
20%
20%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BFC
2 - 4
MAC
44%
23%
34%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
MAC
3 - 1
JUR
45%
22%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
DIJ
3 - 2
MAC
45%
23%
33%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 0
FCG
73%
16%
12%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Quetigny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
QUE
3 - 4
MOR
14%
18%
68%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
PON
2 - 1
QUE
86%
10%
4%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
QUE
1 - 11
SOC
13%
20%
67%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FCG
3 - 1
QUE
84%
12%
5%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
QUE
0 - 5
BFC
11%
17%
73%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | -1 |