Machida Zelvia vs Roasso Kumamoto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
15.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machida Zelvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SHI
2 - 0
MAC
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 1
TOK
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
CON
3 - 2
MAC
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ZWE
1 - 2
MAC
22%
27%
51%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 1
YOK
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Roasso Kumamoto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ROA
1 - 1
THE
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
REN
0 - 2
ROA
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ROA
0 - 0
MON
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ROA
0 - 0
FAG
26%
28%
46%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
EHI
1 - 0
ROA
57%
25%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |