Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
10.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machida Zelvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
MAC
3 - 1
JLE
66%
22%
13%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 0
RYK
65%
21%
13%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
GAI
0 - 0
MAC
21%
26%
53%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 1
YSC
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
FUK
1 - 1
MAC
24%
27%
49%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Grulla Morioka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
GRU
1 - 1
YSC
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
GAI
2 - 1
GRU
51%
26%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
GRU
0 - 2
FUJ
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
GRU
5 - 0
JLE
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 1
GRU
72%
19%
9%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | +1 |