Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machida Zelvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
FUK
1 - 0
MAC
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MAC
4 - 1
BLA
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2014 |
GAI
0 - 1
MAC
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
MAC
4 - 0
JLE
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
RYK
1 - 7
MAC
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Grulla Morioka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
GRU
3 - 0
YSC
68%
18%
14%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
GRU
2 - 3
SAG
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2014 |
GRU
4 - 1
FUJ
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ZWE
2 - 0
GRU
50%
25%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
GRU
0 - 0
PAR
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |