Machida Zelvia vs Giravanz Kitakyushu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
39.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machida Zelvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 2
FAG
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MON
3 - 1
MAC
61%
23%
15%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 0
GAI
59%
23%
19%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 0
TOK
40%
29%
31%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
JEF
0 - 1
MAC
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Giravanz Kitakyushu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
GIR
2 - 0
ROA
56%
25%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
TOK
0 - 2
GIR
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
FAG
1 - 1
GIR
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
GIR
4 - 2
AVI
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
OIT
0 - 1
GIR
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |