Machida Zelvia vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
26.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machida Zelvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
ZWE
1 - 2
MAC
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 0
GRU
49%
28%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 0
RYK
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
ALB
0 - 2
MAC
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MAC
0 - 0
OMI
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
TOC
0 - 1
FAG
27%
30%
42%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
FAG
1 - 1
TOK
32%
29%
39%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
FAG
4 - 1
VEN
26%
29%
45%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
FAG
1 - 3
JEF
36%
30%
35%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
VVA
0 - 1
FAG
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |