Machida Zelvia vs Cerezo Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machida Zelvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 1
MAC
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 0
BLA
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
GAI
1 - 1
MAC
21%
26%
53%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 0
FUK
64%
23%
13%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
RYK
0 - 2
MAC
20%
26%
54%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
AVI
1 - 1
CER
45%
26%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CER
0 - 0
EHI
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
CER
2 - 0
TOK
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
VVA
2 - 0
CER
22%
27%
50%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ZWE
3 - 0
CER
25%
26%
49%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |