Machico vs SC Salgueiros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.9%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
80.8%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.6%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.1%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.7%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
8º
13º
10º
49
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 81.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
67% | 18.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
33% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
REB
2 - 1
MAC
78%
14%
9%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
4 - 0
MAC
87%
10%
4%
|
18 | 59 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 0
ALP
32%
22%
46%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 1
MAC
85%
11%
4%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 1
CAM
14%
18%
68%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
SC Salgueiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 1
LEC
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 2
SAL
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SAL
1 - 0
BMA
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
SAL
25%
25%
51%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 0
GUA
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |