Machico vs Resende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
55.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
8º
13º
10º
17
10º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
67% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
33% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 1
LEC
11%
17%
73%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 1
MAC
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
BMA
3 - 3
MAC
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 2
MAR
10%
15%
75%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 3
MAC
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Resende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
RES
2 - 1
GON
20%
26%
55%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
LEC
0 - 1
RES
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SAL
3 - 1
RES
80%
14%
5%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
RES
2 - 2
CAS
26%
23%
51%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
RES
2 - 2
REB
24%
23%
53%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |