Machico vs Cinfães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
40.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
6º
11º
10º
7
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
9 | 49 |
1º
|
29% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 48 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 48 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 45 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 40 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 39 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 39 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 38 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
|
12º
|
1 | 33 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 32 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 25 |
12º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 20 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 16 |
14º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
44% | 66% |
|
Relegation
|
53% | 30.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 0
MAC
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
COI
1 - 0
MAC
34%
22%
44%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MAC
3 - 0
MAC
43%
23%
35%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 0
MAC
60%
20%
20%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 1
NAC
3%
8%
89%
|
29 | 73 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Cinfães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CIN
3 - 2
FCB
35%
26%
39%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CIN
1 - 0
GFC
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CIN
3 - 0
RES
56%
21%
22%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SAL
2 - 1
CIN
61%
23%
16%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CIN
0 - 0
UNI
66%
18%
16%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |