Machico vs Beira Mar SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
61.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
8º
13º
10º
47
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
67% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
33% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
MAC
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 0
MAC
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
GON
16%
21%
63%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | +4 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SAL
2 - 0
MAC
81%
14%
5%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 2
REB
17%
21%
63%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BMA
1 - 0
LEC
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 1
BMA
16%
24%
59%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
RES
0 - 1
BMA
14%
21%
65%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BMA
2 - 1
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
BMA
15%
22%
63%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |