Machico vs AD Marco 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
50.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+89%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
11º
6º
33
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 56 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 49 |
2º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 47 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 45 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 41 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 37 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 36 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 35 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 34 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 30 |
11º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 26 |
12º
|
57.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 20 |
13º
|
75% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 11 |
14º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 22.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 77% |
|
Relegation
|
22.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
MAC
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 0
CIN
36%
24%
41%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 0
MAC
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
COI
1 - 0
MAC
34%
22%
44%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MAC
3 - 0
MAC
43%
23%
35%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
AD Marco 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ADM
2 - 1
REG
76%
14%
10%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
LEC
0 - 0
ADM
44%
26%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ADM
0 - 0
OEL
7%
13%
80%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ADM
1 - 1
BMA
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LEC
2 - 2
ADM
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |