Maceratese vs Santarcangelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maceratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
ARZ
1 - 0
MAC
29%
28%
43%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 0
PIS
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
MAC
38%
27%
36%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 1
TUT
65%
21%
13%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LAQ
1 - 1
MAC
22%
28%
50%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
PON
40%
28%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ACP
3 - 3
SAN
40%
28%
33%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
RIM
54%
25%
22%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SPA
3 - 1
SAN
63%
23%
14%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
4 - 1
TUT
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |