Maceratese vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
63.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maceratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 1
CAS
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
FER
2 - 0
MAC
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
REG
1 - 0
MAC
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ASG
0 - 1
MAC
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
ABN
3 - 2
MAC
20%
25%
55%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
PAR
3 - 1
ASG
76%
17%
7%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FAN
0 - 1
PAR
8%
18%
74%
|
68 | 39 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 0
MAN
80%
15%
5%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 5
PAR
8%
19%
73%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 2
FER
73%
19%
9%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |