Maceratese vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maceratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
FER
2 - 0
MAC
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
REG
1 - 0
MAC
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ASG
0 - 1
MAC
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
ABN
3 - 2
MAC
20%
25%
55%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 0
MAN
64%
22%
15%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
NUO
1 - 2
CAS
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
FON
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MES
2 - 1
CAS
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 2
REG
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FRA
4 - 1
CAS
26%
26%
48%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |