North Macedonia U21 vs Portugal U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
67.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Macedonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
ENG
6 - 3
MKD
86%
11%
3%
|
44 | 79 | 35 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
MKD
1 - 1
LTU
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
MKD
1 - 2
ENG
10%
19%
71%
|
44 | 79 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
GRC
3 - 1
MKD
80%
14%
7%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
CRO
2 - 1
MKD
78%
15%
8%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
GRC
2 - 1
POR
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
POR
4 - 1
LTU
82%
12%
5%
|
76 | 43 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
NIR
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
FIN
76%
17%
8%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
POR
2 - 0
CPV
87%
10%
4%
|
75 | 8 | 67 | 0 |