North Macedonia U21 vs England U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
71.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Macedonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
GRC
3 - 1
MKD
80%
14%
7%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
CRO
2 - 1
MKD
78%
15%
8%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
MKD
0 - 3
ALB
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
NOR
0 - 0
MKD
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
EST
1 - 0
MKD
25%
24%
52%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | -2 |
Matches
England U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
NED
0 - 0
ENG
38%
27%
36%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2009 |
GER
4 - 0
ENG
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2009 |
ENG
3 - 3
SWE
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2009 |
GER
1 - 1
ENG
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 2
ENG
52%
24%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |