Macclesfield Town vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macclesfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
BCF
2 - 1
MAC
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
MAC
2 - 1
CHE
49%
26%
26%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
MAC
1 - 0
DAR
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
KID
1 - 0
MAC
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
MAC
3 - 1
GRI
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
NOT
1 - 2
LEY
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
NOT
2 - 3
WRE
51%
23%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
ROC
0 - 3
NOT
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
WHU
3 - 2
NOT
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
NOT
1 - 2
SOU
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |