Macclesfield Town vs Gateshead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macclesfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 1
LUT
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ALF
1 - 2
MAC
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
TAM
0 - 0
MAC
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
HYD
1 - 1
MAC
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
EBB
0 - 4
MAC
37%
25%
39%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
GAT
0 - 1
WRE
25%
27%
48%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
GAT
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
EBB
3 - 1
GAT
35%
24%
41%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
TAM
2 - 0
GAT
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
GAT
2 - 3
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |