Macclesfield Town vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
71.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macclesfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 2
SOU
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
MAC
4 - 1
BAR
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
SOU
3 - 2
MAC
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
MAC
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 0
NUN
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
BIR
0 - 1
CAR
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
MIL
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
CRY
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
LEI
0 - 1
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
POS
73%
18%
9%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |