Macclesfield Town vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macclesfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
SOU
4 - 1
MAC
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 1
BAR
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
MAC
0 - 2
ROT
33%
28%
39%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
BCF
2 - 2
MAC
58%
24%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2010 |
OXF
2 - 1
MAC
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
BCF
1 - 0
STF
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 1
BCF
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
BCF
1 - 1
ALD
53%
26%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
STA
1 - 0
BCF
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 0
BCF
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |