EFL Cup 1/64
Global 3-2
Macclesfield Town vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
61.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macclesfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
PLY
0 - 1
MAC
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2000 |
MAN
4 - 4
MAC
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
MAC
0 - 0
HUL
51%
26%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
BOL
1 - 0
MAC
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
STF
2 - 2
MAC
39%
27%
35%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2000 |
TRA
0 - 1
BOL
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
BOL
2 - 0
PNE
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
BOL
1 - 0
MAC
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
WBA
0 - 2
BOL
25%
26%
49%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
BOL
1 - 1
BUR
72%
18%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |