UEFA Intertoto Cup Final
Global 3-4
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ethnikos Achnas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maccabi Petah Tikva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2006 |
ZRI
1 - 3
MPT
53%
25%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2006 |
MPT
1 - 1
ZRI
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
MPT
2 - 1
HAP
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
MAC
2 - 1
MPT
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
MPT
1 - 0
BSA
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ethnikos Achnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2006 |
ETH
0 - 0
OSI
34%
24%
41%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2006 |
OSI
2 - 2
ETH
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2006 |
PAR
2 - 1
ETH
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
ETH
4 - 2
PAR
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
ENO
3 - 3
ETH
64%
20%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |