Maccabi Petah Tikva vs AEK Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maccabi Petah Tikva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
MPT
2 - 1
MTA
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
AEK
3 - 0
MPT
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
BEI
2 - 4
MPT
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
MPT
2 - 1
BSA
65%
22%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
MAC
2 - 3
MPT
32%
28%
40%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
AEK
3 - 0
MPT
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
AEK
2 - 3
ENO
58%
21%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
DIG
1 - 2
AEK
36%
24%
40%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
AEK
3 - 1
ONI
87%
10%
4%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
APO
4 - 2
AEK
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |