Q. Europa League 2da Ronda Final
Global 1-3
Maccabi Netanya vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maccabi Netanya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 2
BNE
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 2
IKS
54%
26%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
MAC
3 - 2
BNE
58%
26%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
BEI
3 - 0
MAC
57%
25%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 0
ASH
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
OFK
1 - 2
CVA
34%
28%
37%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2008 |
SJU
0 - 5
CVA
46%
24%
29%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
CVA
4 - 0
SJU
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
VID
0 - 3
CVA
25%
27%
48%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2008 |
CVA
0 - 1
LOV
40%
26%
35%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |