Macarthur FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
9º
8º
21
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
1% | 12.5% |
|
Next round
|
33% | 72.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 2
MFC
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 3
CCM
30%
25%
45%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 0
MCI
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
NEW
2 - 2
MFC
33%
25%
42%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 3
CCM
32%
23%
46%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PER
1 - 2
WES
35%
24%
41%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
MCI
7 - 0
WES
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
WES
1 - 3
WUF
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
WES
1 - 4
SYD
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 2
WES
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |