Macarthur FC vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2021 |
WUF
1 - 2
MFC
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
MFC
1 - 2
CCM
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
PER
1 - 1
MFC
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
MFC
3 - 1
MEL
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 2
MFC
30%
28%
42%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
WPH
2 - 2
PER
47%
25%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
WES
1 - 2
WPH
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
WPH
3 - 0
WUF
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
MCI
2 - 2
WPH
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
ADE
0 - 0
WPH
54%
24%
23%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |