Macarthur FC vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
9º
8º
13
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
1% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
33% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 93.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
WES
3 - 1
MFC
50%
25%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
PER
3 - 2
MFC
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 3
WPH
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
DHC
0 - 3
MFC
4%
12%
84%
|
69 | 28 | 41 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SYD
0 - 2
MFC
49%
25%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 0
WUF
42%
25%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
ADE
3 - 1
NEW
59%
23%
19%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 2
PER
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
WPH
0 - 3
NEW
62%
21%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 2
MCI
24%
24%
52%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |