Macarthur FC vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
MFC
1 - 4
MEL
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
WUF
2 - 0
MFC
50%
26%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
MFC
2 - 1
BRI
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
ADE
1 - 0
MFC
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MFC
4 - 2
PER
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 4
CCM
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
WES
3 - 2
NEW
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 2
MEL
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
NEW
6 - 1
PER
46%
26%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
BRI
2 - 0
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |