Macarthur FC vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 2
MFC
30%
28%
42%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
PER
0 - 0
MFC
44%
27%
30%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
MFC
1 - 1
MCI
38%
24%
39%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MFC
2 - 2
NEW
59%
24%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
ADE
3 - 1
MFC
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
PER
2 - 1
MEL
60%
22%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 2
MFC
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 1
CCM
42%
25%
34%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
SYD
1 - 0
MEL
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
MEL
5 - 4
WES
28%
24%
48%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |