Macarthur FC vs Melbourne City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
8º
7º
24
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
28 | 52 |
1º
|
70% | |
|
|
4º
|
24 | 45 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 43 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 41 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 41 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 41 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 39 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 38 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 36 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 36 |
10º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 23 |
11º
|
56% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 18 |
12º
|
43.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 17 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10% | 43% |
|
Next round
|
46.5% | 48.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
43.5% | 8.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
MFC
1 - 2
WPH
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
NEW
1 - 3
MFC
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
MFC
1 - 2
ADE
44%
24%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
WES
2 - 3
MFC
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2024 |
PER
0 - 3
MFC
28%
24%
49%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
AFC
3 - 0
MCI
17%
22%
61%
|
76 | 20 | 56 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
MCI
1 - 0
BRI
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
MCI
2 - 0
WUF
63%
21%
17%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
MCI
2 - 0
WPH
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2024 |
CCM
1 - 1
MCI
44%
24%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |