Macarthur FC vs Melbourne City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
45.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
11º
12º
55
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CCM
4 - 1
MFC
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MFC
3 - 2
BRI
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
WES
4 - 0
MFC
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 1
NEW
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 1
WPH
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MCI
2 - 1
BRI
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
ADE
4 - 2
MCI
33%
25%
41%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MCI
3 - 2
SYD
58%
23%
20%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MEL
3 - 2
MCI
30%
26%
45%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PER
2 - 4
MCI
21%
25%
54%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |