Macarthur FC vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
9º
8º
17
2º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
1% | 1% |
|
Next round
|
33% | 27.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 71.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
8 - 2
DHC
83%
12%
6%
|
66 | 30 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
SUF
0 - 3
MFC
4%
10%
86%
|
66 | 30 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 1
MFC
5%
11%
84%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
PER
0 - 4
MFC
34%
21%
45%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 1
WPH
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SYD
3 - 1
BRI
49%
23%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MEL
0 - 1
BRI
6%
13%
82%
|
69 | 36 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BRI
4 - 2
WES
30%
24%
47%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SYD
0 - 5
BRI
7%
14%
79%
|
68 | 34 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 3
BRI
42%
24%
35%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |