Macarthur FC vs Auckland FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+1416%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
8º
8º
33
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
31 | 51 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 44 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 42 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
33 | 41 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 40 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 40 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 39 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 38 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 38 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 18 |
12º
|
49% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
50% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
9.5% | 9% |
|
Next round
|
33.5% | 51% |
|
Mid-table
|
57% | 40% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SYD
1 - 2
MFC
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 1
MFC
50%
25%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 2
NEW
60%
22%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
6 - 1
PER
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MEL
0 - 1
MFC
51%
23%
26%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Auckland FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
WPH
0 - 2
AFC
73%
18%
9%
|
13 | 72 | 59 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
SYD
18%
23%
59%
|
11 | 75 | 64 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 0
BRI
16%
21%
64%
|
9 | 65 | 56 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
WUF
1 - 2
AFC
84%
11%
5%
|
7 | 64 | 57 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WES
4 - 2
AFC
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 69 | 61 | -1 |