Mação vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.3%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
78.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mação
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MAC
0 - 0
PEN
11%
16%
73%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
OLE
4 - 0
MAC
88%
9%
3%
|
12 | 37 | 25 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 4
TOR
7%
15%
78%
|
13 | 43 | 30 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ADN
3 - 1
MAC
87%
10%
4%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CON
3 - 2
MAC
65%
18%
17%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
BEN
2 - 0
ADN
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 1
BEN
13%
23%
64%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
BEN
6 - 0
OLE
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ALV
2 - 0
BEN
14%
22%
64%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 2
UDL
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |